January 22, 2020

The general principle with stops is:” either wide or tight“. Anything in the middle gets stopped out. That is why all typical stop methodologies are sub par (chandelier, parabolic sar, swing stops, support/resistance, asf). Counter intuitive stops, the ones that make one feel uncomfortable, typically are better stop methodologies. The problem however is that stops are very hard t...

January 18, 2020

Participating in the markets is full of conflicts. This is due to the fact of the high variability of the market which has as such many choices and many moving parts. In this week´s case we have a confirmed short signal on the weekly and therefore larger time frame, while the smaller daily time frame indicates a low risk long entry. Typically a top down approach is to be followed...

January 7, 2020

Why might this be a good year for silver? Let us look at some silver fundamentals and some general factors that influence the price of silver:

1. A wide range of industries have an ever-increasing demand for silver (Used in the production of batteries, bearings, printing inks, solar panels and water purification)

2. Overall, world demand has outstripped world production of silver s...

December 22, 2019

We pointed out risk, reward and psychological abnormalities of pre holiday trading in our previous chartbook. One always should reduce size for this sort of trading. Taking part if opportunity presents itself in pre holiday trading can be very rewarding. Weekly charts show low risk and in favor to take a position. This chartbook will guide on the various timing possibilities on h...

December 22, 2019

In our last chartbook we pointed out reasons for our very active participation in the precious metal sector at this time. We wanted to underline, that our approach has nothing to do with pyramiding. Avoiding any approach that increases risk is key. We only hip pocket the last 25% of a positions size of an individually successful trade onto a larger time frame longer term exposure...

December 14, 2019

December markets are tricky. With the closing of the year come rollovers in futures markets, tax considerations, hedge fund portfolio allocations due to accountability and much more. Markets are a reflection of human behavior and the holidays are challenging to many. From family reunions to financial responsibilities. A whole lot of psychology influencing factors are bundled into...

December 12, 2019

As much as we use a technical analysis dominated approach toward the markets, it would be foolish to not have those views guided by fundamentals. It is at this point in time a true confluence point of world wide events that drive our aggressive participation in the silver market. This with the goal in mind, to accumulate a larger than usual long term silver holding. Aggressive pa...

December 12, 2019

When the universe aligns or better said many edges speak in favor for a trading entry, time to action is called for. Unfortunately this is easier said than done. As contrarians these times are often, or should we say best, when others are in disagreement. It is not uncommon that one might have tried once or twice before to get a stab at the market so it takes courage to increase...

December 9, 2019

We advocate a contrarian approach based on a time frame confluence system. When this confluence is absent as of right now, we do not open new large size positions. Most of the times we are positioned already and take possibly some reloads. The following charts will illustrate why at this point a “reload only” environment is present. A range break is necessary to establish a low r...

December 6, 2019

Learning to master the markets is like drinking from a fire hose. This does not change, no matter at what stage of the game you are. The vastness of possibilities and the challenges of psychology are endless. Therefore the only way of maneuvering through a landscape this broad is condensing systematically and focusing on principles. One question we get asked a lot is:”How can one...

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