April 1, 2020

The required skill level to prosper trading is treading light footed. This is only possible with confidence. Confidence comes from a knowing. Knowing settles in after a long time of experience. However any professional can get shaken up, hence the saying “when in doubt stay out”. Moves to the downside are vastly shorter in time than long legs. It takes less time to destroy something than building it. Fear is more forceful than...

March 27, 2020

Right now you might find yourself in this first moment of catching a breath. You might have started getting used to a work from home. In addition, you might be feeling more prepared having stacked up on essentials. Maybe you even got used to this new world revealing itself. We pointed out in our last weekly silver chartbook how important it is to be in a stable emotional condition for high value decision making. This is especi...

March 24, 2020

Not in the sense that main principles have been shattered or macro cycle theory questioned… We dare to say that recent impacts and those we foresee to come, will have major implications on trading systems. Typically we deal with a brief impact like a bubble or an event and markets recover from such resulting crashes in a foreseeable future. Not this time. In our humble opinion more downturns in the percentage magnitude we have...

March 23, 2020

In our last publication of our weekly silver chartbook we advised the purchase of physical silver. It was timely since shortly thereafter shortages of physical precious metal deliveries were common. Coins and bullion are now being sold as much as 100% above the cash price. However, it isn’t too late just yet. One can still have services  store physical silver on ones behalf in their vaults at fair prices. It is imperative this...

March 17, 2020

In turbulent times like these, many trading systems get close to their breaking point. Many indicators or otherwise used trading tools are useless. It is important to know what works and when to switch systems. What tools to focus on in what environment. Typical support and resistance zones in times of high volatility are less reliable. Market movement doesn’t care much for a specific number, when emotions like fear are in pla...

March 15, 2020

All engines stop. After a week like the last, it is important to exit the fright train. Bombarded by news that leave you at best concerned but more likely rather frightened, it is key to change ones state. No good decisions are made from a low energy state. However, you are confronted with many more high priority choices to be made.  The whole world lost nearly a quarter of its wealth and the blood bath does not seem to be ove...

March 10, 2020

During the last two week all major indices like S&P 500, Dow Jones, NASDAQ, DAX and others dropped by more than 10% in what is considered one of the worst weeks in trading. This Monday morning the bloodbath continues. But why did gold and Bitcoin also drop? Aren’t they usually considered as a hedge against the former? Amidst uncertainty, smart money turns to safer options, like gold. However, despite reaching a seven-year high...

March 9, 2020

As extraordinary events happen in global markets right now, conflicting fundamental data can be hard to decipher. We had pandemics before. 1889 Russian flu pandemic, 1918 Spanish flue pandemic. 1957 Asian Flue Pandemic, 1968 Hong Kong flue pandemic and 2009 H1N1 flue pandemic. Unfortunately, historical data on how the markets reacted seems in-congruent. We also find ourselves in a unique situation right now just from a financi...

March 6, 2020

More important than making money is not losing it. If you lose fifty percent of your investment money, you need to make one hundred percent profits, just to break even. This counter intuitive principle works against you. If you trade a normally slow commodity or index future, anything highly liquid that doesn’t move much, you might welcome unusual volatility coming into the market. Trading the crypto space with its already hig...

February 28, 2020

The weakest link is you. That is not always easy to admit, but it is factual, that the main cause for large draw downs is human error. The list of errors in market participation is long. For example running stops or sitting frozen behind the monitor not being able to push the button. Last week´s price action in the precious metal sector and overall world markets was very much influenced by the news regarding the coronavirus. A...

February 27, 2020

If you compare the average performance of all major hedge funds from 1994 to 2018 you will find them under performing the S&P by more than 2 percent. These funds cut volatility risk compared to the index by about half. You still can get hit hard on your money annually. This depends in what direction the market trades and what your hedge fund of choice is trading in. In other words you can loose all your money. You also have th...

February 22, 2020

Facts:
So called miners get rewarded for digital transaction verification with the virtual reward of bitcoin. These transaction verification’s are measured in blocks. After each 210,000 blocks “mined”, the reward amount gets to be half than the previously set reward. This has termed the events when 210,000 blocks are completed, “halving”. In 2009 when this process started the reward amount was set to 50 bitcoin per block. 2012...

February 20, 2020

For those traders who like to be early in the moves and are willing to take some extra risk for extra rewards, we just found first system confirmations. For the monthly time frame in the silver market our trading model is giving a green light. The green arrow in the monthly chart below illustrates the potential that we see for the long term. Ignition on the monthly time frame – green light.

Silver Monthly Chart – Ignition Point...

February 18, 2020

Silver has shown some relative weakness towards gold within the precious metal sector in recent days. Looking at the weekly chart we can see that the distribution zone near US$18.60 has successfully rejected silver prices a second time within the last six month. Silver is trading right in the center of the sideways contracting trading range between US$16.60 and US$18.60. Yes, we have a bullish tone however there is not a low r...

February 13, 2020

In our chartbook publication from last week we published a chart with entry levels as a guide on when to enter the market. Briefly after publication, the first low risk price level was approached. Consequently we posted a screenshot of precise entry timing live in our Telegram channel (see charts below). It might still elude you to be consistently extracting profits, even with a system as good as this.

Bitcoin Daily Chart – A R...

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