Thinking from the end

We discussed in recent posts how execution is a much overlooked skill set needing much more attention and enforced conditioning processes than intuitively obvious. In addition it is good advise to never forget that a trading system and its execution is only as good as its executioners psychology Typically after a lengthy struggle of system development with inappropriate executions of a multitude of consistent trading losses, unwanted behavior is not only established but repeatedly conditioned To continue on a prosper journey of consistent profitable returns one must examine in detail ones psychology One such scarcity behavior in need for remedy is trying to avoid losing trades. With a mind set trying to not create any more losses one in-proportionally triggers a sum of losing pain accumulated from the past. One creates in the principle of "mind creates matter" exactly what is tried to be avoided. l Losses. The focus needs to be instead on the desired outcome of a winning trade or the next appropriate preset task of an event chain (execution behavior) As such analytical sequences and probability blocks need to be in place. example of our recently discussed trade sequence: https://www.theflowtrader.com/single-post/just-execute-your-system follow up about the trades we discussed on Monday the 13th in the PT room:

ES daily chart

inverse CEOD with high vol node on VWAP and 20 SMA touch

for reload short:

if you missed the "pling" entry into the momentum up move for low risk entry based on action reaction principle-also confirmed by 200SMA on 15 min time frame, than you had still an entry opportunity 2 hours later with tight stop opportunity (orange short entry arrow to the very right):

the Bitcoin short reload entry was right when i came posting into the PPT channel(exits are entries and entries are exits)(those who know me are familiar that i typically post at either entry or exit times)

nice clean sixty minute double top:

fin point:

fin:

financing spot

directional daily support:

big number:

second opportunity for financing

big number on daily trade as well:

more examples of these consequential reloads and targets and their entry and financing points: (real time execution pics)

so instead of thinking "how can i avoid a losing trade" or "where is my next entry signal", rather "know where you are in the sequence of the market and what this means to your risk, to your probabilities, to your trade frequency and direction, = trade an extension of your daily call principles: Example of a top down momentary market analysis: typical analysis: topping patterns:

inter market relationships (relative strength/relative weakness):

beauty principle (repeating patterns typical for a time frame or an individual instrument):

volatility, angle, percentage retracement and time cycle comparisons:

risk probability checks ( blow off tops, compressions, triangles, ..): workarounds i use this CC which gives as incentives instead of frequent flyer miles or Amazon $ physical gold for your 1-3% savings

= you buy a very small amount of physical gold each month over the next ten years or when ever the system crashes an do not care about price since its average: Gold https://www.onegold.com/join/7e1b58d7a7b24089bad8d90e44742be7 puts ones mind at ease, anything that helps psychology helps execution

probability occurrences when s/r gets weaker

advanced (look outside your comfort zone for patterns, abnormalities, beauty, ...): logarithmic line chart (look for edges in unexplored representations):

Gold-Silver ratio targets (think outside the box for targets):

time cycle node high probability targets after tight ranges:

and why does information about an unheard time principle edge like this exhilarate the novice trader-because it temporarily eases the pain of uncertainties and suggests"i am saver now, I know more:. But for trading one doesn't need to know a lot-one needs to condition locks of behavior and pragmatically execute them The void of uncertainties and lack of confidence is only fueled by more edges not otherwise imagined. why did we start to short?

S&P500:

daily:

hourly:

Bitcoin: daily:

hourly:

and in regards to "know where you are", think larger time frame outside the intuitive: example: where are we in a mid to long term cycle: 100 years cycle? end of an era? change of country who holds the reign of dominating currency? gold standard? Bitcoin? and place these probabilities in sensible time cycles and risk probabilities and study historical markets and price behavior at the time where are you personally within the long term market cycle in your life time: