Silver – What to expect long term

Not all concepts in financial markets are complex. It is always the simple reduction of things, that come across convincing. It requires expansion first to be able to reduce, but once in alignment: less is more. Allow us in this weeks chartbook to expand on this notion and merely demonstrate why a long play in the silver market has a probable, favorable outcome. Silver- What to expect long term.

Monthly chart of silver 7/12/2019, sideways trading periods:

Silver in US-Dollar, monthly chart as of July 12th, 2019

The chart you are looking at above, presents the last twenty year of silver trading behavior. Each single candle stick counts for one months length of price fluctuation. Horizontal yellow lines mark sideways trading periods. We aim to illustrate that like in many other markets these times dominate in length market play.

July 12th 2019, Silver, directional moves:

Silver in US-Dollar, monthly chart as of July 12th, 2019 b

In opposition to the first chart presented, this chart even so the same time frame, illustrates exactly the opposite. Vertical yellow lines show the time segments in which prices expanded or retracted, prices were trading directional in nature. We aim to show that the mere time segments where actual meaningful price change manifested was in time duration a lot shorter in period than the sideways trading segments of the previous chart depicted.

Silver – monthly chart – 7/12/2019, where we at and what to expect:

Silver in US-Dollar, monthly chart as of July 12th, 2019 c

Putting it all together one could say that after a time fo congested sideways movements directional move becomes imminent. Where an edge can be extracted is that silver has been just in such a congested phase for a while. But that is not all.

The risk/reward edge – monthly chart of Silver July 12th 2019:

Silver in US-Dollar, monthly chart as of July 12th, 2019 d

The last time,about ten years ago silver was trading within these price ranges, a substantial move came as a result of prior congestion. Now we could go into lengthy discussions about technical reason and fundamental reasons and all sorts of stacked edges like the ones we discussed in prior chartbooks about silver of why we are bullish on silver. but we promised this time around not to make things complicated. If you think of it, we don’t need to.

Looking at the risk to reward probability graphically depicted in the above chart , isn’t it fair to say that if only once in a while a play like this works out it will take care of a few small loosing trades along the way.

And isn’t it fair to say that most likely there will be still a fair chunk of profits left even if the number of the times one would be wrong would outweigh the hit rate of the winners, one could still come out ahead.

So why not try a trade like this one on.

Join our free Telegram Group :https://t.me/joinchat/HGe22hDDEEl0LvFGAgEZ9g

All published information represents the opinion and analysis of Mr Korbinian Koller & his partners, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Koller’s opinions are his own and are not a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. Mr. Koller is an independent analyst who receives no compensation of any kind from any groups, individuals or corporations. As trading and investing in any financial markets may involve serious risk of loss, Mr. Koller recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction and do your own due diligence and research when making any kind of a transaction with financial ramifications.

Although a qualified and experienced stock market analyst, Korbinian Koller is not a Registered Securities Advisor. Therefore Mr. Koller’s opinions on the market and stocks can only be construed as a solicitation to buy and sell securities when they are subject to the prior approval and endorsement of a Registered Securities Advisor operating in accordance with the appropriate regulations in your area of jurisdiction. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The passing on and reproduction of this report, analysis or information within the membership area is only legal with a written permission of the author.

Important Trading Risks and Earnings Disclaimers - Terms of Use

RISK DISCLAIMER: All forms of trading carry a high level of risk so you should only speculate with money you can afford to lose. You can lose more than your initial deposit and stake. Please ensure your chosen method matches your investment objectives, familiarize yourself with the risks involved and if necessary seek independent advice.

U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Trading financial instruments of any kind including options, futures and securities have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the options, futures and stock markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose.

NFA and CTFC Required Disclaimers: Trading in the Foreign Exchange market is a challenging opportunity where above average returns are available for educated and experienced investors who are willing to take above average risk. However, before deciding to participate in Foreign Exchange (FX) trading, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.

EARNINGS DISCLAIMER: EVERY EFFORT HAS BEEN MADE TO ACCURATELY REPRESENT THIS PRODUCT AND ITS POTENTIAL. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE THAT YOU WILL EARN ANY MONEY USING THE TECHNIQUES, IDEAS OR PRODUCTS PRESENTED. EXAMPLES PRESENTED ARE NOT TO BE INTERPRETED AS A PROMISE OR GUARANTEE OF EARNINGS.

CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAN ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

All information presented or any product purchased from this website is for educational and research purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advice. Any statement about profits or income, expressed or implied, does not represent a guarantee. This presentation is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell options, futures stocks or securities. No representation is being made that any information you receive will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this website. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please use common sense. Get the advice of a competent financial advisor before investing your money in any financial instrument.

Terms of Use: Your use of this educational website indicates your acceptance of these disclaimers. In addition, you agree to hold harmless the publisher and instructors personally and collectively for any losses of capital, if any, that may result from the use of the information. In other words, you must make your own decisions, be responsible for your own decisions and trade at your own risk.

Recent Posts

Stay Up-To-Date with New Posts

Search By Tags

join my free

telegram Group

Mentorship

packages

download my

free book