Silver eats doubt for breakfast

Gaining certainty about a clear picture of the future is getting more complex by the minute. Data arrives of never-seen occurrences that make it seemingly impossible to know how everything will pan out. President Biden demands higher taxation of the rich and a minimum wage of US$15. News about Silver market manipulation introduces fear into this market sector. Janet Yellen spoke of inflation. Many are talking about a possible hyperinflation. Others however are pointing towards the “Japanization” of America. On top, a recent New York Times headline reads: “Reaching herd immunity is unlikely in the U.S.”. All this noise is creating more confusion and pressure instead of clarity. The good news is: You do not need to know how the future unfolds to preserve your wealth. And Silver eats doubt for breakfast.

Silver prices will continue to rise. Why are we so sure about this? Unlike most who try to gain clarity about how the future might look like, we instead eliminate all scenarios where Silver prices wouldn’t be rising. Even if you are not a specialist in trading fundamentals, by now, it intuitively feels just wrong that central banks put this much freshly printed currency into circulation. Historically, precious metals are the most common safe haven in times of trouble and doubt. This will be no different this time around.

Silver in US-Dollar, Weekly Chart, Last weeks chart:


Silver in US-Dollar, weekly chart as of April 29th, 2021.

In last week´s publication, we posted the above chart with this comment:

“We identified the slightly higher probability of prices to advance immediately since we overcame a distribution zone marked with a dark green horizontal line, which now serves as support.”

…and spot on we were:

Silver in US-Dollar, Weekly Chart, Like we hoped:


Silver in US-Dollar, weekly chart as of May 6th, 2021.

While these weekly charts might appear somewhat similar, something significant has happened. The following the daily chart shows this more clearly.

Silver in US-Dollar, Daily Chart, Resistance penetration:


Silver in US-Dollar, daily chart as of May 6th, 2021.

Zooming into the smaller time frame, we can see the significance of last week’s price movement. Not only did the POC (point of control) support supply zone based on volume transaction (green horizontal line) get cemented by three rejected candle wicks, but the original breakout through significant resistance at US$26.55 all the way to prices above US$$27 paves the way to further advances.

Gold in US-Dollar, Monthly Chart, When to cash in some chips:


Gold in US-Dollar, monthly chart as of May 6th, 2021.

While entries are essential for risk minimization, exits distinguish the good trader. They should be as such the true focus in one’s trading approach.

Looking at the Gold chart above, the leader of the precious metal sector and as such followed by Silver shows a clear seasonal pattern. We identified a high probability for precious metal prices peaking in the first week of September and will, as such, take partial profits (see our quad exit strategy) at that time from our Silver holdings.

Silver eats doubt for breakfast:

Our mind craves certainties in an uncertain world and even more when predicting an unknown future. It is the process of accepting these uncertainties and applying principles of wealth preservation that supports the outcome of sound investment strategies.

One of these principles is the process of elimination. We were asking if there is a scenario where Silver wouldn’t rise, which is much more fruitful than trying to predict a precise model of the future. We literally couldn’t come up with a scenario that would work against the Silver price advance over the long term.


Join our free Telegram Group :https://t.me/joinchat/HGe22hDDEEl0LvFGAgEZ9g



All published information represents the opinion and analysis of Mr Korbinian Koller & his partners, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Koller’s opinions are his own and are not a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. Mr. Koller is an independent analyst who receives no compensation of any kind from any groups, individuals or corporations. As trading and investing in any financial markets may involve serious risk of loss, Mr. Koller recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction and do your own due diligence and research when making any kind of a transaction with financial ramifications.




Although a qualified and experienced stock market analyst, Korbinian Koller is not a Registered Securities Advisor. Therefore Mr. Koller’s opinions on the market and stocks can only be construed as a solicitation to buy and sell securities when they are subject to the prior approval and endorsement of a Registered Securities Advisor operating in accordance with the appropriate regulations in your area of jurisdiction. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The passing on and reproduction of this report, analysis or information within the membership area is only legal with a written permission of the author.



Important Trading Risks and Earnings Disclaimers - Terms of Use


RISK DISCLAIMER: All forms of trading carry a high level of risk so you should only speculate with money you can afford to lose. You can lose more than your initial deposit and stake. Please ensure your chosen method matches your investment objectives, familiarize yourself with the risks involved and if necessary seek independent advice.



U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Trading financial instruments of any kind including options, futures and securities have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the options, futures and stock markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose.


NFA and CTFC Required Disclaimers: Trading in the Foreign Exchange market is a challenging opportunity where above average returns are available for educated and experienced investors who are willing to take above average risk. However, before deciding to participate in Foreign Exchange (FX) trading, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.


EARNINGS DISCLAIMER: EVERY EFFORT HAS BEEN MADE TO ACCURATELY REPRESENT THIS PRODUCT AND ITS POTENTIAL. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE THAT YOU WILL EARN ANY MONEY USING THE TECHNIQUES, IDEAS OR PRODUCTS PRESENTED. EXAMPLES PRESENTED ARE NOT TO BE INTERPRETED AS A PROMISE OR GUARANTEE OF EARNINGS.


CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAN ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.



All information presented or any product purchased from this website is for educational and research purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advice. Any statement about profits or income, expressed or implied, does not represent a guarantee. This presentation is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell options, futures stocks or securities. No representation is being made that any information you receive will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this website. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please use common sense. Get the advice of a competent financial advisor before investing your money in any financial instrument.


Terms of Use: Your use of this educational website indicates your acceptance of these disclaimers. In addition, you agree to hold harmless the publisher and instructors personally and collectively for any losses of capital, if any, that may result from the use of the information. In other words, you must make your own decisions, be responsible for your own decisions and trade at your own risk.

Tags:

Recent Posts